Room 09 / Independent Blockchain Evidence
Blockchain-Anchored Transferable Operational Intelligence
The reconstructed model on the left. The immutable wallet evidence on the right.
Wallet Evidence Panel
Public wallet activity, counted directly from CSV
Blockchain evidence proves timestamps, hashes, methods, status, gas, approvals, swaps, bridges, and redeems. It does not by itself prove retained operational value.
Method counts
| Method | Count |
|---|---|
| Redeem Positions | 433 |
| Approve | 35 |
| Swap | 27 |
| Bridge | 9 |
| Set Approval For All | 5 |
| Dag Swap By Order Id | 5 |
| Transfer | 4 |
| Deposit Erc20 | 3 |
| Swap And Start Bridge Tokens Via Across V4 | 1 |
| Wrap | 1 |
Approval / swap / bridge lifecycle sample
- TransferSuccess
0x2898a812911df184... - TransferSuccess
0xb7d94cea753c057d... - ApproveSuccess
0x0461853821e3d95e... - ApproveSuccess
0xd1e03b2d2a649242... - Set Approval For AllSuccess
0x9815c696f303849c... - Set Approval For AllSuccess
0xc92b7ada4d7b00b2... - Dag Swap By Order IdError(0)
0xe9508ec5423b4b84... - Dag Swap By Order IdError(0)
0x177be4a181a2e87d... - Dag Swap By Order IdError(0)
0x2cbf3a8c626fdef0... - Dag Swap By Order IdError(0)
0x94db492ae1e1a3db... - Dag Swap By Order IdError(0)
0xd83368f285d13b88... - ApproveSuccess
0x110f315bc3167964... - ApproveSuccess
0x2f8a18ff93dd8094... - SwapSuccess
0x8685d4f4f292ef6b... - TransferSuccess
0xd4d83df9a56ef480... - Swap And Start Bridge Tokens Via Across V4Error(0)
0x3f40469551ebb926... - ApproveSuccess
0x704a818e1204de8d... - BridgeSuccess
0xff329e6f494c21f5... - ApproveSuccess
0x5cd94b1ba8bdb701... - ApproveSuccess
0xb016ce7a2297cdfb...
Burst Timeline
Daily and per-minute redeem bursts
Cells show daily transaction volume and redeem counts. Confirmed Apr 9 and Apr 19 cells are outlined when present in the CSV.
04-0820 redeems
04-098775 redeems
04-105757 redeems
04-11102 redeems
04-122120 redeems
04-132121 redeems
04-141512 redeems
04-173434 redeems
04-198179 redeems
04-2097 redeems
04-2141 redeems
04-2522 redeems
04-2633 redeems
05-12140 redeems
05-1310 redeems
05-15159 redeems
05-163323 redeems
05-1710 redeems
05-182121 redeems
05-2230 redeems
05-291410 redeems
05-3094 redeems
05-313225 redeems
06-012421 redeems
06-02107 redeems
2026-04-19
2026-04-09
2026-04-10
2026-04-17
2026-05-31
2026-05-16
2026-04-13
2026-05-18
Gas by day
| Date | Gas POL | Gas USD | Redeems |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 0.014266033 | 0.001082 | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | 1.053689154 | 0.079895 | 75 |
| 2026-04-10 | 0.698195952 | 0.05294 | 57 |
| 2026-04-11 | 0.475548063 | 0.036058 | 2 |
| 2026-04-12 | 0.345315458 | 0.026183 | 20 |
| 2026-04-13 | 0.302977404 | 0.022973 | 21 |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.347494932 | 0.026348 | 12 |
| 2026-04-17 | 0.547540946 | 0.041517 | 34 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1.199532611 | 0.090953 | 79 |
| 2026-04-20 | 0.279826216 | 0.021218 | 7 |
| 2026-04-21 | 0.158174325 | 0.011993 | 1 |
| 2026-04-25 | 0.019644569 | 0.00149 | 2 |
| 2026-04-26 | 0.052337543 | 0.003968 | 3 |
| 2026-05-12 | 0.770999426 | 0.05846 | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.01604947 | 0.001217 | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | 0.7250487 | 0.054976 | 9 |
| 2026-05-16 | 1.57517877 | 0.119437 | 23 |
| 2026-05-17 | 0.189933881 | 0.014402 | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | 0.496033626 | 0.037611 | 21 |
| 2026-05-22 | 0.359992842 | 0.027296 | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | 0.67361302 | 0.051076 | 10 |
| 2026-05-30 | 1.439414707 | 0.109142 | 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1.629994784 | 0.123593 | 25 |
| 2026-06-01 | 1.670532055 | 0.126667 | 21 |
| 2026-06-02 | 0.439610356 | 0.033333 | 7 |
71% Retention Analysis
Formula present, proof status guarded
Cautious: wallet bursts and archive session windows overlap, but a full retained_value / peak_available_value lifecycle join is missing.
retention_ratio = retained_value / peak_available_value
gas_adjusted_retention = (retained_value - gas_cost) / peak_available_value
Current label: 71% retention not proven by this evidence set: behavioral correlation pending full lifecycle join.
The CSV anchors redemption behavior and gas costs. Internal archives add session context, but the current evidence set does not complete a retained_value / peak_available_value lifecycle join at 71%.
Wallet-hash matches
- No direct hash join foundInternal archives did not provide a complete wallet-hash match for the 71% calculation.
Session windows near redeem days
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-16T23:55:37.697Z -> 2026-04-17T00:00:04.841Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:00:05.596Z -> 2026-04-17T00:05:04.908Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:05:05.733Z -> 2026-04-17T00:10:05.034Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:10:05.812Z -> 2026-04-17T00:15:05.172Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:15:22.649Z -> 2026-04-17T00:20:05.387Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:20:26.902Z -> 2026-04-17T00:25:05.484Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:25:01.870Z -> 2026-04-17T00:30:05.616Z2026-04-17
- btc-bsm-fairvalue2026-04-17T00:30:01.450Z -> 2026-04-17T00:35:05.723Z2026-04-17
Evidence Chain Diagram
From paper decision to transferable intelligence
Paper Decision
Operational Truth
Live Execution
Redeem Position
Polygon Hash
Reconstruction
Transferable Operational Intelligence
Archive Correlation
Internal evidence read-only summary
326 relevant archive files seen, 233 trade files parsed, 92024 internal trade records parsed.
D:\5m-rapid\storage\campaign-risk-state.json
L21 "tradeSizeUsdc": 1.2,
L30 "tradesToday": 0,
L31 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L44 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 0,
L50 "tradesToday": 0,
L51 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L64 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 1.2,
L70 "tradesToday": 0,
D:\5m-rapid\storage\campaign-risk-state.restore-live-2-backup-20260419T1812Z.json
L21 "tradesToday": 2,
L22 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L35 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 3,
L41 "tradesToday": 4,
L42 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L55 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 2.999999,
L61 "tradesToday": 0,
L62 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
D:\5m-rapid-desktop\storage\campaign-risk-state.json
L21 "tradesToday": 0,
L22 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L35 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 0,
L41 "tradesToday": 0,
L42 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L55 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 1.2,
L61 "tradesToday": 0,
L62 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
D:\5m-rapid-desktop\storage\campaign-risk-state.restore-live-2-backup-20260419T1812Z.json
L21 "tradesToday": 2,
L22 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L35 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 3,
L41 "tradesToday": 4,
L42 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
L55 "lastKnownTradeSizeUsdc": 2.999999,
L61 "tradesToday": 0,
L62 "tradesThisWindow": 0,
D:\5m-rapid-desktop\storage\feedissues runtime optruth\arc-operational-truth-8h-baseline.json
L13 "paper": {
L15 "cohortId": "paper-2026-05-09T02-51-16-804Z",
L20 "btc-seasonal-meanrev-paper-mirror",
L21 "eth-seasonal-meanrev-paper-mirror",
L28 "btc-sim-fairvalue-paper",
L29 "eth-sim-fairvalue-paper",
L30 "sol-sim-fairvalue-paper"
L41 "trades": 924,
Proof Boundary
What is proven, what is archive-supported, what remains correlation
Redeem calls, timestamps, transaction hashes, method sequence, status, failed/successful transactions, public wallet activity, and gas costs.
Paper/live trade sessions, internal operational-truth records, watcher reports, lifecycle readiness, stale-source warnings, and partial redemption context.
A full lifecycle join proving retained_value divided by peak_available_value near 71% and tied to wallet activity. Until then, this is behavioral correlation pending full lifecycle join.
Disclaimer
Evidence correlation layer only
This page is an evidence correlation layer. It does not promise returns and does not present paper, reconstructed, or historical outcomes as live performance expectations.